Kickers Luzern vs Balerna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 0
LUZ
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LUZ
1 - 3
AAR
24%
23%
53%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
LUZ
0 - 0
SAR
41%
24%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
LSS
2 - 0
LUZ
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
HER
3 - 3
LUZ
54%
22%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Balerna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 2
HER
23%
23%
54%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FCS
2 - 0
BAL
77%
15%
8%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BAL
4 - 0
EMM
14%
20%
66%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | +5 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 0
IBA
12%
19%
69%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
TAV
2 - 1
BAL
84%
11%
4%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |