KFUM Roskilde vs Aarup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KFUM Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 1
KFU
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
KFU
1 - 3
OTB
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SYD
2 - 1
KFU
19%
21%
60%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
KOL
2 - 4
KFU
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
KFU
2 - 3
KOL
30%
24%
47%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
AAR
4 - 0
FRE
45%
22%
32%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TAA
5 - 2
AAR
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
AAR
4 - 3
KRA
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
AAR
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
AAR
1 - 2
GRE
28%
21%
51%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |