KFC Lille vs Merelbeke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
43.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KFC Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
4 - 0
TIS
57%
21%
22%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
LIL
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 2
KSC
70%
17%
12%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 0
LIL
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LIL
0 - 1
KVV
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Merelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MER
0 - 5
GEN
6%
15%
79%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MER
2 - 1
ZUL
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MER
2 - 3
APP
57%
23%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
OLS
0 - 3
MER
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MER
1 - 2
OOS
52%
23%
26%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |