Kenkre vs Neroca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
11º
11º
25
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenkre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
KEN
1 - 1
CHU
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
TRA
3 - 0
KEN
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
SMF
0 - 3
KEN
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
PAI
1 - 0
KEN
53%
22%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
KEN
1 - 0
RKF
20%
24%
57%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
MOH
3 - 1
NER
68%
20%
12%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
NER
1 - 0
SMF
48%
25%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
NER
0 - 1
RKF
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
MIN
3 - 3
NER
64%
22%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
NER
1 - 3
CHU
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |