Keflavik vs Leiknir Reykjavik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keflavik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
KEF
6 - 0
THR
69%
17%
14%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
KEF
5 - 4
LEI
64%
19%
17%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
KEF
3 - 0
SEL
66%
18%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2025 |
STJ
1 - 4
KEF
67%
18%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
KEF
1 - 0
IBV
44%
22%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Leiknir Reykjavik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
LEI
5 - 0
KRI
77%
14%
10%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
KEF
5 - 4
LEI
64%
19%
17%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
LEI
1 - 1
STJ
15%
19%
66%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
LEI
2 - 3
IBV
29%
22%
49%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
LEI
1 - 6
KRR
16%
18%
66%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |