Kavala vs Apollon Larisas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
64.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
APO
7 - 0
AOK
49%
23%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
AOK
0 - 5
OLY
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2021 |
NIK
7 - 0
AOK
57%
23%
20%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
AOK
0 - 6
ALA
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
THE
7 - 0
AOK
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Apollon Larisas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
APL
0 - 0
PIE
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ANA
1 - 0
APL
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
APL
0 - 2
APO
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
VER
5 - 1
APL
28%
27%
45%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
APL
0 - 1
IRA
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |