Kavala vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
AOK
1 - 0
KAL
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 0
AOK
69%
21%
10%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
AOK
0 - 1
PIE
74%
18%
8%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
APS
1 - 0
AOK
29%
30%
41%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
AOK
0 - 0
IRA
74%
18%
8%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
PFC
1 - 0
AEK
23%
27%
51%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
AEK
2 - 1
GIA
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
AEK
0 - 1
LEV
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
VER
0 - 4
AEK
18%
26%
56%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
AEK
0 - 4
OLP
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |