Kastrup vs Kalundborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.8%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.8%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.2%
2.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kastrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
STE
0 - 3
KAS
38%
22%
40%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
KAS
3 - 1
VIR
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
KFU
2 - 1
KAS
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
TAA
0 - 1
KAS
46%
22%
33%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
KAS
3 - 1
HER
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Kalundborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
KAL
0 - 8
HER
12%
17%
72%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
VAN
1 - 0
KAL
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
KAL
0 - 3
JAG
22%
20%
59%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
HIL
4 - 1
KAL
86%
9%
4%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
KAL
0 - 1
TAA
23%
21%
56%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |