Kastrup vs Herlev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kastrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
VAN
1 - 1
KAS
50%
24%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
KAS
1 - 1
JAG
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
KAS
1 - 0
HIL
42%
22%
37%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
KAL
1 - 2
KAS
26%
21%
53%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
KAS
3 - 0
STE
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Herlev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
TAA
2 - 2
HER
34%
22%
44%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
VAN
62%
21%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
HER
3 - 2
JAG
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
HIL
3 - 2
HER
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
HER
3 - 1
KAL
85%
10%
5%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | +1 |