Kastrup vs Allerød analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
4.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kastrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 1
KAS
54%
20%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 1
KAS
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
KAS
2 - 1
GVI
47%
21%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
KAS
3 - 2
SKJ
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
FA2
2 - 4
KAS
38%
23%
40%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Allerød
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
ALL
0 - 2
SKJ
38%
25%
37%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ALL
1 - 0
FA2
27%
22%
51%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LSF
3 - 0
ALL
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ALL
0 - 1
SOL
21%
22%
57%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
HIL
2 - 1
ALL
86%
10%
4%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |