Kaposvari Rakoczi vs Fehérvár II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
4º
15º
4º
25
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
99% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
92% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
13º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
46% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 27.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 72.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaposvari Rakoczi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
MEZ
1 - 1
KAP
17%
19%
65%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
KAP
1 - 1
MHC
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 1
KAP
28%
23%
50%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
KAP
1 - 2
IVA
16%
21%
63%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MTK
2 - 2
KAP
40%
23%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fehérvár II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MOL
2 - 1
PAK
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MHC
3 - 0
MOL
35%
23%
42%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MOL
1 - 5
NAG
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 0
MOL
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -3 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MOL
2 - 4
FCD
64%
19%
18%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |