Kagera Sugar vs Mwadui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
SIM
2 - 0
KAG
84%
12%
5%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
KAG
2 - 1
MTI
39%
30%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
KAG
1 - 2
MBE
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
KAG
0 - 0
DJF
31%
27%
41%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
NAM
2 - 1
KAG
60%
25%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
MWA
1 - 1
RUV
48%
26%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SIM
5 - 0
MWA
81%
13%
6%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MWA
1 - 6
JKT
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
MWA
2 - 1
MBE
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
AZA
3 - 0
MWA
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |