Alliance FC vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
EMM
3 - 0
JKJ
66%
18%
15%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
JKJ
1 - 5
EMM
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
JKJ
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
JKJ
1 - 0
TDU
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
NOM
2 - 1
JKJ
57%
21%
22%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 3
FCA
51%
22%
27%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 2
PAR
51%
22%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
JKJ
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 1
FLO
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 6
FLO
7%
13%
80%
|
42 | 75 | 33 | 0 |