EC Juventude vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 0
BRA
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
FOR
3 - 2
JUV
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 1
PAR
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 0
JUV
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 0
ABC
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 3
ATL
41%
26%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 0
VIL
44%
26%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
CEA
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
DUQ
1 - 2
VIL
32%
27%
42%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAO
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |