EC Juventude vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
54.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
JUV
2 - 0
BOA
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
PAY
0 - 1
JUV
60%
24%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
JUV
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 1
REM
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LUV
0 - 0
JUV
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2019 |
CEA
2 - 1
GRE
19%
28%
53%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
COR
0 - 0
GRE
36%
29%
35%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 0
UCO
61%
20%
19%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2019 |
GRE
4 - 5
FLU
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 1
GRE
22%
28%
51%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | -1 |