EC Juventude vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2002 |
PPE
1 - 0
JUV
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
JUV
2 - 0
PPE
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
ANA
1 - 3
JUV
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
AMF
1 - 1
JUV
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
JUV
2 - 1
GAM
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2002 |
FLU
2 - 0
PAY
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
PAY
1 - 2
FLU
29%
26%
45%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
FLU
5 - 1
SAM
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
SAM
2 - 1
FLU
20%
26%
54%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
ATP
3 - 2
FLU
58%
22%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |