Juventud Alianza vs Sportivo Desamparados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
JUV
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
JUV
3 - 1
LCY
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 1
MAR
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CEC
1 - 0
JUV
29%
24%
47%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
IND
0 - 0
JUV
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
DES
5 - 0
LCY
56%
21%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 2
DES
35%
25%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
CAG
0 - 0
DES
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
DES
0 - 0
CAG
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
TRI
2 - 2
DES
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |