Junior vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
JUN
2 - 1
IND
42%
26%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
UNI
2 - 1
JUN
37%
27%
35%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
CAR
1 - 0
JUN
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
JUN
0 - 1
ENV
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
NAC
4 - 1
JUN
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 0
UNI
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
UNI
2 - 1
JUN
37%
27%
35%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
UNI
2 - 0
ENV
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
IND
4 - 1
UNI
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
UNI
2 - 1
CAR
45%
25%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |