Junior vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 0
JUN
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 3
PAS
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 1
TOL
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUN
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
PAS
1 - 0
JUN
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ENV
2 - 0
TOL
25%
26%
49%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 0
ENV
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ENV
0 - 0
CHI
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 1
ENV
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
ENV
0 - 0
CAL
29%
28%
42%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |