Junior vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2024 |
JUN
1 - 2
ONC
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
ONC
2 - 2
JUN
45%
28%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 0
JUN
48%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
JUN
1 - 0
AME
49%
25%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
JUN
3 - 0
CAL
48%
25%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AME
4 - 2
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 0
AME
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 0
JUN
48%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
ONC
0 - 0
TOL
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 0
NAC
45%
27%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |