Junior vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 2
JUN
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2019 |
JUN
0 - 0
NAC
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
JUN
0 - 1
MEL
54%
24%
21%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CUC
2 - 1
JUN
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
JUN
1 - 1
ALI
61%
24%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 2
TOL
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2019 |
TOL
1 - 1
CAL
45%
27%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
JWI
0 - 2
TOL
40%
24%
36%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 1
IND
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
PAT
1 - 0
TOL
27%
27%
47%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |