Junior vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 1
JUN
39%
28%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
JUN
1 - 0
JAG
77%
16%
7%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 2
JUN
24%
29%
47%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
JUN
2 - 2
PAS
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
JUN
1 - 0
PAT
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
QUI
3 - 2
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 2
BUC
58%
23%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
HUI
2 - 2
TOL
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 1
TOL
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 1
CHI
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |