Philadelphia Lone Star vs Ocean City Nor'easters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
56.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Lone Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
REA
4 - 1
JLS
67%
18%
16%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
WCU
2 - 1
JLS
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
NOR
2 - 1
JLS
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
OCE
1 - 2
JLS
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
JLS
4 - 0
RCN
70%
16%
14%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ocean City Nor'easters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
OCE
1 - 2
WCU
36%
24%
41%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
REA
2 - 5
OCE
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
OCE
5 - 0
RCN
83%
11%
6%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
OCE
3 - 0
LEH
84%
11%
6%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
OCE
1 - 2
JLS
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |