Jumilla vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
64.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jumilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
JUM
0 - 2
CFB
15%
24%
61%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LOR
3 - 0
JUM
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
JUM
0 - 3
LUC
15%
24%
61%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ECI
2 - 0
JUM
75%
17%
8%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
JUM
0 - 3
SRQ
14%
24%
62%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 0
YEC
70%
18%
11%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
CFB
1 - 0
MEL
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 0
ALM
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 0
MEL
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 1
MUR
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |