FC Jove Español vs Orihuela CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
51.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
15º
15º
57
1º
16º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 58 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
55% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 59% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 41% |
|
Mid-table
|
76.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
23.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Jove Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
HER
0 - 0
JOV
51%
25%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
JOV
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
JOV
1 - 1
ATZ
22%
26%
53%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GAN
1 - 0
JOV
55%
24%
22%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
JOV
2 - 3
PCF
38%
26%
36%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ORI
0 - 1
ACE
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ORI
3 - 0
SIL
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
TCF
0 - 1
ORI
34%
26%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 2
ATH
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ORI
0 - 1
LEV
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |