Jorge Wilstermann vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
JWI
2 - 1
JAG
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
JWI
0 - 0
EME
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
SCI
3 - 0
JWI
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
JWI
1 - 4
SCI
18%
24%
58%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
EME
1 - 0
JWI
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
AUR
5 - 0
REA
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
RPO
2 - 1
AUR
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 1
LAP
67%
20%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
AUR
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
AUR
3 - 2
STR
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |