Jong Aurora vs Deva Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
24.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
SLE
5 - 3
AUR
47%
21%
32%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
AUR
2 - 1
JUN
9%
14%
77%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | +4 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
AUR
3 - 4
HAP
11%
16%
73%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
AUR
0 - 0
MOE
31%
22%
47%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
BIN
4 - 2
AUR
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Deva Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
DEV
3 - 1
MOE
24%
21%
55%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
DEV
0 - 3
BIN
13%
17%
70%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
HAP
5 - 3
DEV
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
DEV
3 - 5
FLO
23%
21%
57%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
FLO
6 - 2
DEV
82%
11%
7%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -2 |