Jesina vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
JES
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CIV
0 - 1
JES
21%
24%
55%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
JES
1 - 0
SAN
24%
26%
50%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
4 - 1
JES
70%
18%
12%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
JES
0 - 1
ASD
39%
24%
38%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FER
1 - 0
ALF
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SAM
3 - 2
FER
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
FER
2 - 2
ROM
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PIN
1 - 2
FER
31%
27%
42%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FER
1 - 0
VIS
56%
25%
19%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +2 |