Jesina vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
34.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
JES
28%
24%
48%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
JES
2 - 2
REC
50%
25%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FER
1 - 0
JES
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
AMI
2 - 0
JES
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
JES
1 - 1
TER
50%
24%
27%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FER
3 - 3
SSS
25%
22%
53%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
AMI
2 - 1
FER
33%
24%
42%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FER
1 - 0
JES
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CIV
3 - 1
FER
38%
25%
38%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FER
1 - 0
FCC
74%
17%
10%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |