Jerv vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
7º
2º
34
4º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ORN
1 - 1
JER
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
JER
3 - 0
FKA
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LYS
3 - 0
JER
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
JER
0 - 0
ETO
49%
24%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
JER
3 - 1
KVI
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
BRA
31%
24%
45%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SSK
4 - 0
VAR
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
HOD
17%
23%
60%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 3
LYS
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 1
VAR
62%
20%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |