Jerv vs Sogndal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
15º
15º
43
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HOD
2 - 2
JER
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
JER
0 - 1
IKS
20%
24%
56%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
KFU
6 - 2
JER
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
JER
1 - 3
BRY
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
MJO
2 - 2
JER
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sogndal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SOG
1 - 1
ASA
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FFK
2 - 1
SOG
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SOG
1 - 2
RAN
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SOG
2 - 0
SKE
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
RAU
3 - 0
SOG
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |