Jerez vs Moraleja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
12.9%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
8.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
JER
2 - 1
MOR
62%
24%
13%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
SAM
0 - 2
JER
30%
28%
43%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
SNV
1 - 1
JER
18%
25%
57%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
JER
2 - 0
CAS
73%
20%
7%
|
40 | 11 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
DBN
1 - 2
JER
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
SNV
3 - 1
MOR
78%
15%
8%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
MOR
2 - 3
CAS
69%
18%
13%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
DBN
5 - 1
MOR
82%
13%
5%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
MOR
1 - 3
IMP
18%
26%
56%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
CPC
3 - 1
MOR
77%
16%
7%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |