Jerez CF vs Flecha Negra U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
34.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
18º
18º
55
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 48 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 1
JER
52%
20%
28%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
JER
3 - 2
OLI
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
CDD
10 - 0
JER
92%
6%
2%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
JER
3 - 3
CSU
47%
22%
32%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MER
9 - 1
JER
72%
16%
12%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Flecha Negra U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FLE
3 - 1
CPD
41%
22%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ATM
7 - 0
FLE
94%
5%
2%
|
7 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
FLE
0 - 3
GET
21%
22%
57%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
RAY
5 - 0
FLE
88%
9%
3%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
FLE
0 - 2
CDB
32%
24%
44%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |