Javalí-Ñora vs Cuarto Distrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
60.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Javalí-Ñora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CIE
3 - 1
JAV
64%
20%
16%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
JAV
2 - 3
PIN
51%
23%
26%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
FOR
6 - 1
JAV
73%
17%
10%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ARC
3 - 1
JAV
65%
20%
16%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
JAV
1 - 0
ALB
29%
25%
46%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cuarto Distrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CUA
0 - 0
OLI
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CUA
3 - 0
SAN
64%
20%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CUA
3 - 2
MOL
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
CEU
2 - 1
CUA
44%
25%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
CUA
3 - 2
MIN
45%
24%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |