Jadran vs Vrbovec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NKC
2 - 2
JAP
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
JAP
0 - 0
NKZ
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
VRA
1 - 0
JAP
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
JAP
3 - 1
KRK
57%
23%
21%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ORI
1 - 2
JAP
43%
27%
30%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vrbovec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
VRB
1 - 3
OPA
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
VNV
2 - 2
VRB
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VRB
4 - 0
SEG
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
NKG
1 - 1
VRB
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
VRB
1 - 1
DUB
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |