Jadran vs Novigrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NKG
3 - 2
JAP
81%
13%
6%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
JAP
1 - 2
NHV
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
JAP
0 - 6
SLA
11%
20%
69%
|
25 | 66 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
NKC
0 - 0
JAP
57%
24%
20%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
JAP
2 - 2
ROV
45%
26%
30%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NOV
4 - 0
NKR
66%
19%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NKB
1 - 0
NOV
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
NOV
3 - 0
NKV
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | +6 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 0
NNH
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NMF
2 - 1
NOV
50%
23%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -2 |