Jadran vs Novalja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
JON
0 - 1
JAP
33%
26%
41%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
JAP
2 - 2
NKB
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
JAP
0 - 0
NHV
62%
21%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
JAP
1 - 1
OPA
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 2
JAP
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Novalja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 0
NHV
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 1
NOV
66%
20%
15%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 0
OPA
36%
25%
39%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 2
NKC
39%
26%
36%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
NEH
2 - 0
NOV
38%
28%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |