Jadran vs Vinodol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
ORI
0 - 2
JAP
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
JAP
1 - 5
OPA
42%
25%
33%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
KRK
2 - 0
JAP
54%
24%
23%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
JAP
0 - 0
NEH
63%
21%
17%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
NOV
3 - 1
JAP
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vinodol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
VNV
1 - 1
NKR
40%
24%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
NKB
2 - 0
VNV
56%
23%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
VNV
1 - 3
NNH
33%
25%
43%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
NMF
1 - 0
VNV
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
VNV
0 - 0
ORI
27%
24%
49%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |