Jadran vs Crikvenica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 0
JAP
66%
21%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
JAP
1 - 1
SPA
69%
19%
13%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
NPI
0 - 0
JAP
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
JAP
3 - 1
NKM
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
VRA
1 - 1
JAP
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crikvenica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
NKC
1 - 2
NKG
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ROV
3 - 0
NKC
45%
25%
31%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 0
NKC
62%
22%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
NKC
2 - 1
SPA
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
NPI
0 - 1
NKC
26%
24%
50%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |