Jablonec II vs Sparta Kolín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
44%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
15º
11º
34
6º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
78.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 53 |
4º
|
78.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 35 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
61.5% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 31 |
16º
|
78% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 28 |
17º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jablonec II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SLI
0 - 0
JBN
63%
20%
18%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
UST
4 - 0
JBN
74%
16%
11%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
JBN
3 - 0
SOK
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FKC
1 - 1
JBN
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
JBN
1 - 3
BMS
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Sparta Kolín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 0
TPC
51%
21%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
SOK
3 - 0
KOL
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SLI
3 - 2
KOL
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
ACL
2 - 0
KOL
29%
22%
49%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SOK
1 - 1
KOL
31%
24%
45%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |