Iztapa vs Nueva Concepción analysis


60	ELO	44
24.1%	Tilt	19.4%
20515º	General ELO ranking	20511º
32º	Country ELO ranking	28º
ELO win probability

81.2%

Iztapa

12.4%

Draw

6.4%

Nueva Concepción

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

81.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%

12.4%

Draw

0-0

3.1%

1-1

5.9%

2-2

2.8%

3-3

0.6%

4-4

0.1%

0

12.4%

6.4%

Win probability

0.68

Expected goals

0-1

2.1%

1-2

2%

2-3

0.6%

3-4

0.1%

-1

4.8%

0-2

0.7%

1-3

0.4%

2-4

0.1%

3-5

0%

-2

1.3%

0-3

0.2%

1-4

0.1%

2-5

0%

-3

0.3%

0-4

0%

1-5

0%

-4

<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-50%

+19%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

4º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

29

1º

8º

4º

12

9º

19º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

18º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
2º	32	35	1º	40%
1º	34	34	2º	41.5%
3º	31	34	3º	29.5%
4º	29	33	4º	19%
5º	28	32	5º	44%
6º	27	30	6º	62%
10º	24	27	7º	25.5%
7º	26	27	8º	33%
8º	25	26	9º	24.5%
9º	24	25	10º	27.5%
11º	24	24	11º	34%
12º	22	23	12º	30.5%
13º	22	22	13º	63%
14º	21	21	14º	76%
15º	18	19	15º	67%
16º	17	17	16º	80%
17º	15	15	17º	87%
19º	11	14	18º	29.5%
18º	12	13	19º	33.5%
20º	11	12	20º	59.5%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Final Series	54.5%	0%
Play-offs	43%	0%
Mid-table	2.5%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Iztapa

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
22 Oct. 2023	SPD 1 - 1 IZT 21% 23% 56%	60	51	9	0
01 Oct. 2023	IZT 5 - 0 SLC 65% 20% 16%	59	54	5	+1
28 Sep. 2023	QUI 2 - 1 IZT 13% 21% 67%	59	48	11	0
24 Sep. 2023	VEN 1 - 1 IZT 27% 23% 50%	60	52	8	-1
13 Sep. 2023	IZT 5 - 0 SOL 82% 13% 6%	59	45	14	+1

Matches

Nueva Concepción

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
22 Oct. 2023	NUE 0 - 1 VEN 27% 23% 50%	45	52	7	0
18 Oct. 2023	NUE 2 - 2 SLC 27% 25% 48%	45	53	8	0
01 Oct. 2023	LEO 2 - 0 NUE 60% 22% 19%	45	51	6	0
27 Sep. 2023	NUE 1 - 1 SOL 55% 23% 22%	46	44	2	-1
24 Sep. 2023	DJC 2 - 2 NUE 7% 12% 81%	46	14	32	0