Ivry vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
AAC
4 - 0
IVR
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
IVR
1 - 4
SED
17%
23%
60%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
3 - 1
IVR
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
IVR
1 - 3
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ROM
0 - 0
IVR
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ARR
0 - 0
PSG
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
QUE
4 - 3
ARR
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ARR
2 - 1
LEN
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LIL
4 - 3
ARR
59%
22%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ARR
3 - 0
MAN
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |