Itaporã vs 7 de Setembro SM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itaporã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 1
NAV
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
URS
2 - 2
ITA
15%
21%
63%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
ITA
84%
11%
4%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 0
AGU
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
COR
1 - 0
ITA
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
7 de Setembro SM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
7DE
2 - 2
AGU
34%
26%
41%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
NAV
1 - 0
7DE
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
URS
1 - 3
7DE
23%
22%
55%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
7DE
1 - 2
IVI
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
7DE
1 - 1
MUN
62%
20%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |