Itabaiana vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
66.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 0
CEA
10%
20%
70%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
BAH
3 - 2
ITA
83%
13%
4%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 0
SOU
25%
26%
49%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 0
ITA
58%
23%
18%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 0
CSA
29%
29%
43%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
ABC
1 - 1
BAH
31%
26%
44%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
CEA
1 - 0
ABC
65%
21%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
ABC
1 - 2
AVA
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 2
ABC
48%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
ABC
3 - 2
GOI
23%
25%
52%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |