Istiklol Dushanbe vs Guardia Dushanbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
ZAP
1 - 10
IST
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 3
IST
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
IST
1 - 0
VAK
63%
20%
18%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
CSK
1 - 1
IST
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
IST
4 - 0
IST
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guardia Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
GUD
1 - 3
XAY
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
RAV
3 - 0
GUD
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
GUD
0 - 1
ENE
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
KHO
0 - 1
GUD
45%
23%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
GUD
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |