Isle of Man vs Padiham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
76.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Isle of Man
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
5 - 1
IOM
90%
7%
3%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
IRL
3 - 1
IOM
83%
11%
6%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
IOM
0 - 3
PRH
9%
14%
76%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
BCF
4 - 0
IOM
93%
6%
1%
|
13 | 60 | 47 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
IOM
3 - 3
BAR
12%
16%
73%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 3
WES
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 2
IRL
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
KEN
1 - 3
PAD
22%
22%
57%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
PAD
3 - 0
LTO
29%
22%
50%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ASH
1 - 4
PAD
58%
20%
23%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |