Solomon Islands vs Papua New Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Solomon Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SOL
2 - 0
PNG
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
SOL
0 - 2
NZL
6%
14%
81%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TAH
2 - 0
SOL
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
NCL
5 - 0
SOL
62%
20%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
SOL
2 - 6
NCL
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SOL
2 - 0
PNG
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PHL
5 - 0
PNG
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SGP
2 - 1
PNG
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
PNG
1 - 1
FIJ
9%
18%
74%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2012 |
PNG
1 - 2
NZL
3%
11%
86%
|
37 | 73 | 36 | 0 |