Ipswich Knights vs Capalaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
46.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
QUE
3 - 0
IPS
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
IPS
3 - 2
HPH
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 2
IPS
75%
15%
11%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
IPS
3 - 2
NPI
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 4
IPS
41%
22%
37%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 0
EAS
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LOG
3 - 4
CAP
44%
22%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 0
ALB
54%
20%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 2
CAP
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 4
CAP
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |