Série D Brazil Final Stages Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Inter de Limeira vs Maringá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
41.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter de Limeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 1
INT
50%
28%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
INT
0 - 0
NOV
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
INT
1 - 1
ECA
67%
21%
11%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ECA
0 - 0
INT
20%
30%
50%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
POA
0 - 0
INT
26%
29%
45%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
3 - 1
POR
57%
26%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
POR
1 - 3
GRE
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 0
NOV
71%
20%
9%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 4
GRE
20%
26%
54%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
GRE
20%
28%
52%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |