Instituto Santiago vs Atlético Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
71.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto Santiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
INS
1 - 0
TFR
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
CAG
4 - 2
INS
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
INS
2 - 0
SAR
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
INS
1 - 1
CAG
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TIN
0 - 0
INS
13%
19%
68%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 0
UNI
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 0
ATL
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
VSR
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VSR
2 - 1
ATL
14%
21%
65%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 0
AMA
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |